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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a big -11.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.0 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Trey McBride to accumulate 8.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Cardinals to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The 49ers defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 37.0) vs. tight ends this year.
  • This year, the tough 49ers defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a meager 5.7 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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