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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated play action on 30.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trey McBride has been not been very involved his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of just 1.9% this year, which places him in the 25th percentile among TEs.

The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 29.0) vs. tight ends this year.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (54.9%) versus tight ends this year (54.9%).

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has displayed good efficiency against TEs this year, giving up 4.77 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Trey McBride Player Props

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