Trey McBride Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Trey McBride

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-104/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

Favors Under

Trey McBride has been among the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a lowly 5.84 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile.
Trey McBride has been among the weakest TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 3rd percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 41.0) vs. tight ends this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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