Trey McBride Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Trey McBride

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to earn 3.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Trey McBride has accrued a puny 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among tight ends.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 34.0) vs. TEs this year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (68.3%) versus TEs this year (68.3%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, giving up 5.54 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.

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