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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

In this week's contest, Trevor Lawrence is expected by the projections to have the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the strong Texans defense has conceded a puny 1.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Houston's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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