Trevor Lawrence TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

TD Passes

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
This year, the weak Titans defense has surrendered a whopping 74.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-biggest rate in football.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
This year, the fierce Tennessee Titans defense has allowed a measly 1.11 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in football.

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