My Account Log Out

reorder

Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.1% pass rate.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.

Trevor Lawrence has attempted 37.3 passes per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile among quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trevor Lawrence has been among the least accurate passers in football since the start of last season with a 58.9% Completion%, ranking in the 6th percentile.

Trevor Lawrence has been among the worst touchdown throwers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a paltry 0.71 per game while grading out in the 15th percentile.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™