Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 3:55 PM EST

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+140/-263).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -263.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Jaguars, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Trevor Lawrence to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (15.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.5% in games he has played).
With a remarkable total of 2.64 yards-after-contact (87th percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks among the leading rushing QBs in football this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
Trevor Lawrence's 9.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks an impressive decline in his rushing skills over last season's 19.0 mark.
Trevor Lawrence's ground efficiency has worsened this year, compiling a mere 3.90 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.24 figure last year.

More Trevor Lawrence Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow