Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
Comprising 14.5% of his offense's run game usage this year (79th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Trevor Lawrence's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat in Jacksonville's rushing attack.
Trevor Lawrence has run for a lot more yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
Trevor Lawrence's 6.61 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a material progression in his rushing skills over last season's 5.39 figure.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

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