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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to attempt 40.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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