Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Pass Attempts

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to attempt 40.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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