Trevor Lawrence Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Interceptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line has afforded their QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Trevor Lawrence has averaged a mere 0.51 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans have intercepted 0.85 passes per game this year, ranking as the 9th-best defense in the league by this statistic.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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