Trevor Lawrence Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Trevor Lawrence's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 60.5% to 66.1%.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 8th-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.