Trevor Lawrence Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:49 PM EST

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-154).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Jaguars, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Trevor Lawrence to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (15.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

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