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Tre'Quan Smith

Tre'Quan Smith Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens

Tre'Quan Smith Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+434/-989).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -974 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -989.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Tre'Quan Smith's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 65.3% to 69.7%.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the most touchdowns through the air in the league to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Tre'Quan Smith's 27.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 37.1.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

More Tre'Quan Smith Player Props

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