Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Trent Sherfield

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Trent Sherfield has put up far more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
Trent Sherfield's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 8.8.
Trent Sherfield has put up a lot more receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Trent Sherfield has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 2.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 13th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.