Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Trent Sherfield

NFL · Player Props

Trent Sherfield

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Trent Sherfield has put up quite a few more air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).
Trent Sherfield's 17.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 8.8.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded the most receiving yards per game in football (213.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Trent Sherfield has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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