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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+395/-837).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +399 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +395.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Trent Sherfield has totaled many more air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).
  • Trent Sherfield's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 8.8.
  • Trent Sherfield has been among the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a terrific 79.8% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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