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Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tre Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-285).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -285.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the 2nd-most TDs through the air in football to WRs: 1.50 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

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