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Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

Tre Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 133.7 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Chicago's group of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The Bears defense has conceded the 9th-fewest TDs through the air in football to wideouts: 0.95 per game since the start of last season.

The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-most TDs in football (1.15 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

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