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Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tre Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-660).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -520 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -660.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Raiders have been the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 33.3% red zone pass rate.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in football.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL against the Commanders defense since the start of last season (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Since the start of last season, the stout Washington Commanders defense has given up a puny 0.89 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

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