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Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tre Tucker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

This year, the shaky Colts pass defense has yielded a staggering 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

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