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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

With an exceptional 87.9% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.

The projections expect Travis Kelce to accumulate 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

Travis Kelce's 4.6 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a significant decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 6.2 figure.

Travis Kelce's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 80.1% to 75.1%.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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