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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.6% pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the model to call 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a whopping 61.0 per game on average).

In this game, Travis Kelce is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.9 targets.

Travis Kelce's 60.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 50.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has conceded a feeble 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

The Broncos safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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