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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.

In this week's game, Travis Kelce is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.6 targets.

With an outstanding 7.3 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Travis Kelce's 68.0% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a a noteworthy decline in his air attack volume over last season's 83.1% figure.

This year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a puny 63.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.

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