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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Kelce to total 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.

Travis Kelce has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 25.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among TEs.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 12.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.

Travis Kelce's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.6% to 46.9%.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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