Travis Kelce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Kelce to notch 9.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Travis Kelce has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 25.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

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