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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 77.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to garner 10.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

As it relates to air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the towering 100th percentile among TEs this year, averaging a whopping 71.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Travis Kelce's 72.1% Route% this season marks a material decline in his passing attack volume over last season's 83.1% figure.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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