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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to garner 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among TEs.

With a top-tier 23.8% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places among the tight ends with the highest volume in football.

When it comes to air yards, Travis Kelce grades out in the towering 99th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing an impressive 64.0 per game.

With an impressive 76.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the top pass-game TEs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

The Patriots pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, conceding 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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