Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 6:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Travis Kelce has run a route on 83.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Kelce to garner 10.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Travis Kelce has totaled a colossal 67.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.9%) vs. TEs this year (67.9%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency against tight ends this year, conceding 7.05 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.65 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.

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