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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.69 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 16.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Travis Etienne has garnered 55.0% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
  • Travis Etienne has picked up 67.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (93rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Jaguars rank as the 9th-least run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.3% run rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have incorporated motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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