Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:36 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.69 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 16.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has garnered 55.0% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has picked up 67.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Jaguars rank as the 9th-least run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.3% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have incorporated motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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