My Account Log Out
 
 
Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-102/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 12.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.9% run rate.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™