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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are massive underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to total 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

The Jacksonville offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have called the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

Travis Etienne has been used less as a potential target this season (45.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (58.5%).

Travis Etienne's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 86.9% to 70.2%.

The Philadelphia defensive ends rank as the best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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