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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

In this contest, Travis Etienne is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 94th percentile among running backs with 4.4 targets.

Travis Etienne places in the 91st percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 20.3 figure this year.

The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Travis Etienne's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 86.9% to 68.8%.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Colts defense has yielded a measly 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

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