Travis Etienne Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+128).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
Travis Etienne has been more involved as a potential target this year (62.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (48.8%).
The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to notch 3.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.2 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Browns defense has given up a feeble 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Cleveland's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

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