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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+146/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -169 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.
  • Travis Etienne has run a route on 48.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to garner 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Travis Etienne has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, catching just 69.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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