Travis Etienne Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+146/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -169 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 48.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to garner 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

Travis Etienne has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, catching just 69.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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