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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Travis Etienne has run a route on 46.5% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to accrue 4.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Travis Etienne has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, completing a measly 64.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 7th percentile.
  • The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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