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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

Travis Etienne has run a route on 49.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line has allowed their QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (73.4%) versus running backs this year (73.4%).

The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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