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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Travis Etienne has run a route on 51.1% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 3.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Travis Etienne has been among the worst possession receivers in football among RBs, catching a mere 72.9% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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