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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • When talking about air yards, Travis Etienne grades out in the lowly 13th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -6.0 per game.
  • Travis Etienne's 7.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 16.4.
  • Travis Etienne's 8.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 17.0 figure.

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