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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive strategy to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The 49ers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (89.6%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (89.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars since the start of last season (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • When you add up his team's air yards this year, Travis Etienne has only received a paltry -3.0%, ranking him in the 24th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Travis Etienne's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 16.4.

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