Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 46.5% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to accrue 4.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Travis Etienne has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, completing a measly 64.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 7th percentile.
The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 29.0) versus running backs this year.
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.