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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.29 seconds per snap.
  • Travis Etienne has run a route on 46.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to garner 3.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • Travis Etienne has put up a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
  • The New York Giants defense has surrendered the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 24.0) vs. running backs this year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on just 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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