Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Jaguars rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 49.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Travis Etienne has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 23rd percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has been among the worst possession receivers in football among RBs, catching a measly 75.7% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 24.0) versus RBs this year.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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