Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 20, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 62.3 per game on average).
The projections expect Travis Etienne to notch 16.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
After accounting for 51.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Travis Etienne has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently taking on 66.9%.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
When talking about run support (and the impact it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars profiles as the worst in football last year.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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