Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 8:56 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.
In this game, Travis Etienne is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 16.5 carries.
After making up 51.6% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Travis Etienne has played a bigger part in the running game this year, currently taking on 64.8%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends rank as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 35.7% run rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

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