Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
The model projects Travis Etienne to accrue 18.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has been much more involved in his offense's running game this year (67.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (51.6%).
The Tennessee defensive ends project as the 6th-worst DE corps in the league this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

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