Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Travis Etienne is projected by the predictive model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.7 rush attempts.
After making up 51.6% of his team's carries last year, Travis Etienne has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 68.0%.

Favors Under

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 39.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
As it relates to run support (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Jaguars grades out as the 3rd-worst in football last year.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's LB corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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