Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to total 13.1 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has earned 51.6% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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