My Account Log Out
 
 
Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to earn 17.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (62.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.4% in games he has played).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™