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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 16.6 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (67.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.5% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Travis Etienne Player Props

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